Graphic reads "GENERAL ELECTION 2024" next to a silhouette of the UK.

The latest MRP poll from Electoral Calculus and Find Out Now shows the Conservatives down to just 60 seats in the whole nation, and none at all in Greater Manchester.

Labour are expected to be the big winners in Greater Manchester, with 25 seats going red, and the remaining two to the Liberal Democrats.

Hover over a constituency on the map below to see its name and predicted winning party.

Here’s a breakdown of the results by seat, taken from the source polling data gathered by Find Out Now and Electoral Calculus:

Seat NameElectorateCONLABLIBReformGreenIndept.OtherTurnoutPredicted WinnerImplied Winner 2019
Altrincham and Sale West73,10731%41%11%10%8%0%0%72%LABCON
Ashton under Lyne71,70910%57%2%26%5%0%0%53%LABLAB
Blackley and Middleton South70,87810%58%3%21%8%0%0%53%LABLAB
Bolton North East77,25221%44%6%21%7%0%2%60%LABCON
Bolton South and Walkden76,11215%40%2%24%14%0%4%53%LABLAB
Bolton West72,18321%51%4%20%3%0%2%58%LABCON
Bury North77,49920%55%3%17%4%0%1%64%LABCON
Bury South75,13114%55%3%22%6%0%2%62%LABCON
Gorton and Denton73,7499%65%3%15%8%0%0%54%LABLAB
Hazel Grove73,97021%15%45%15%3%0%1%69%LIBCON
Heywood and Middleton North72,63613%50%5%30%0%0%2%54%LABLAB
Leigh and Atherton76,36912%52%2%28%4%0%1%60%LABCON
Manchester Central73,7909%62%3%12%9%0%5%55%LABLAB
Manchester Rusholme69,2998%68%0%7%14%0%4%56%LABLAB
Manchester Withington71,1678%69%5%6%10%0%3%69%LABLAB
Oldham East and Saddleworth72,12017%48%5%21%5%0%5%56%LABLAB
Oldham West, Chadderton and Royton72,99814%51%4%19%7%0%5%54%LABLAB
Stalybridge and Hyde73,06311%55%2%24%5%0%2%56%LABLAB
Stretford and Urmston72,37110%63%3%14%8%0%2%66%LABLAB
Worsley and Eccles77,29912%54%3%24%5%0%1%58%LABLAB
Wythenshawe and Sale East76,31411%59%3%17%9%0%2%59%LABLAB

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  • Kacy Preen

    Kacy is co-editor and organiser at The Meteor, and has lived in Manchester for 20+ years. They are interested in local politics and property development. Kacy is a member of the Trans Journalists Association.

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